Your fantasy, my reality

With our fantasy season coming to the midpoint, and our standard weekly power rankings falling to the wayside, I’ve decided to create a power rankings to help predict the future of our keeper league. With this in mind, I narrowed the parameters of the discussion down to the current roster’s total scoring average (excluding that of the person in the IR spot as of 1/13/2020) and the average age of the roster 1-15. While there are millions of caveats to any discussion, and I’m well aware averages can be drastically thrown off by teams carrying hurt players in active spots (not my job to tell someone else how to run their team) and/or load management, I kept it simple and rocked with these two parameters for an ease of understanding and reading.

With that in mind, let’s look to the future…

***DISCLAIMER: “stars” are defined as top 5 at their positions currently in fantasy production // “best young stars” must be 25 and under and score over 20 a night // “young prospects” must be 25 and under & score under 20 a night (ESPN H2H scoring format)***

Nick: average score (337.7) & age (29.3)
Current stars: Giannis, AD, Westbrook, & Lilliard
Best young stars: Giannis
Young prospects: N/A

Britt: average score (342.2) & age (27.7)
Current stars: Luka, Harden, LBJ, Aldridge, & Kawhi
Best young stars: Luka & Thomas Bryant
Young prospects: Lonzo Ball, Wendell Carter (19.8), & Devonte’ Graham (19.0)

J Dubbs: average score (325.7) & age (24.2)
Current stars: Drummond, Sabonis, Jokic, KAT, and Devin Booker
Best young stars: Jokic, KAT, John Collins, and Devin Booker
Young prospects: Miles Bridges and Mitchell Robinson

Seamus: average score (246.2) & age (23.3)
Current stars: Jayson Tatum
Best young stars: Tatum, Lavine, Julius Randle, Montrezl Harrell, & Kristaps Porzingod
Young prospects: Ja (19.1), Lauri Markkanen, Tyler Herro, Coby White, Darius Garland, De’Andre Hunter & Brandon Clarke

Carter: average score (257.1) & age (28.5)
Current stars: N/A
Best young stars: Donovan Mitchell & Capela
Young prospects: Luka Kennard & Jarrett Culver

David: average score (300.9) & age (25.3)
Current stars: Whiteside & Jimmy Butler
Best young stars: Jaylen Brown & DeAndre Ayton
Young prospects: Shai (19.0), Bagley III, Andrew Wiggins (19.4) & Justise Winslow

James: average score (193.4) & age (23.9)
Current stars: Trae Young
Best young stars: Trae Young
Young prospects: Colin Sexton, Kyle Kuzma, Giles III, Daniel Gafford, Dario Saric, & Bol Bol

JK: average score (289.2) & age (27.3)
Current stars: Ben Simmons and Rudy Gobert
Best young stars: Ben Simmons & Pascal Siakam
Young prospects: De’Aaron Fox (19.3), OG Anunoby, Jonathan Isaac, & Dante Divincenzo

Louis: average score (245.9) & age (21.3)
Current stars: Brandon Ingram, Kelly Oubre & Bam
Best young stars: Brandon Ingram, Bam, Jarrett Allen, & Fred VanVleet
Young prospects: DLo (19.8), Kelly Oubre (19.6), Fultz, Sekou Doumbouya, Jaxson-Hayes, MPJ, RJ Barrett, PJ Washington, & Rui Hachimura

Sean: average score (252.0) & age (25.1)
Current stars: Tobias Harris & Joel Embiid
Best young stars: Joel Embiid
Young prospects: Jamal Murray, Mo Bamba, Dejounte Murray, Cam Reddish, Kevin Huerter, Caris LeVert, & Jaren Jackson Jr.

Being I’m no mathematician, I will use the average score divided by the average age to give a rough understanding of scoring output in comparison to the ages of players on the roster:

Nick: 11.526 points per year
Britt: 12.354 points per year
Dubbs: 13.459 points per year
Seamus: 10.612 points per year
Carter: 8.986 points per year
David: 11.893 points per year
James: 8.092 points per year
JK: 10.593 points per year
Louis: 11.545 points per year
Sean: 10.040 points per year

So, in conclusion, while not a scientifically strong case, it’s clear to see who is currently killing the league, and who has a chance with their young players to grow in the future. My professional opinion as the “GM Gawd” is as follows: good luck trying to beat anyone above an 11 points per year in the next decade or so if you don’t have a lengthy group of players in the “best young stars” and “young prospects” categories as statistically it’ll be tough to overcome. Last but not least, it’s safe to say my boy James will be eating lots of waffles over the next half decade, let’s wish him luck.